%0 Journal Article
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE
%@holdercode {isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S}
%@resumeid 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDE
%@usergroup administrator
%@usergroup estagiario
%3 cptec.htm
%X Monthly to seasonal dynamical atmospheric prediction at CPTEC have been performed since January 1995. The model used for these predictions is the CPTEC version of the COLA AGCM which was derived from the NCEP model ( Kinter et al. 1988) and includes a sophisticated biosphere model, SiB (Xue et al. 1991). The horizontal resolution of the AGCM CPTEC/COLA is T62 and there are 28 levels in the vertical (Cavalcanti et al. 1995). The seasonal predictions at CPTEC, during the first 3 years, were results of an ensemble of 4 members, using 4 consecutive days as initial conditions. In 1998 there was an increase in the number of ensemble members, with the prediction based on 25 integrations. The application of boundary conditions also changed, from the use of persisted SST anomalies, to predicted SST. In the tropical Pacific, the SST is given by NCEP coupled model forecast, and in the tropical Atlantic the SST is predicted using a statistical model (Pezzi et al. 1998). Outside these regions persisted SST anomalies are used.
%8 Mar.
%N 1
%T Climate Prediction of precipitation for the Nordeste rainy season of MAM 2001
%@secondarytype PRE PI
%@visibility shown
%@group DMD-INPE-MCT-BR
%@group DMD-INPE-MCT-BR
%@group DOP-INPE-MCT-BR
%@group DOP-INPE-MCT-BR
%@group DMD-INPE-MCT-BR
%@e-mailaddress fabia@cptec.inpe.br
%@secondarykey INPE-11027-PRE/6483
%@copyholder SID/SCD
%U http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Mar01/cptec.htm
%2 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/06.02.15.38.06
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional  de Pesquisas Espaciais,(INPE/CPTEC)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional  de Pesquisas Espaciais,(INPE/CPTEC)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)
%B Experimental  Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin
%P on line
%4 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/06.02.15.38
%D 2001
%V 10
%A Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque,
%A Marengo, Joseé Antonio,
%A Sanches, Marcos Barbosa,
%A Camargo, Helio,
%A Mendes, David,
%@area MET