%0 Journal Article %@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 %@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE %@holdercode {isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S} %@resumeid 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDE %@usergroup administrator %3 cptec.htm %B Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin %@secondarykey INPE-11029-PRE/6485 %A Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque, %A Pezzi, Luciano P., %A Sampaio, Gilvan, %A Sanches, Marcos Barbosa, %T Climate Prediction of precipitation for the Nordeste rainy season of MAM 1999 %8 Mar. %D 1999 %V 8 %N 1 %P 51-54 %2 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/06.02.14.07.02 %4 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2004/06.02.14.07 %X Monthly to seasonal dynamical atmospheric prediction at CPTEC has been performed since January 1995. The model used for these predictions is the CPTEC version of the COLA AGCM which was derived from the NCEP model ( Kinter et al., 1988) and includes a sophisticated biosphere model (Xue et al., 1991). The horizontal resolution of the AGCM is T62 and there are 28 levels in the vertical (L28; Cavalcanti et al., 1995). The seasonal predictions at CPTEC, during the first three years, were results of an ensemble of four members, using four consecutive days as initial conditions. In 1998 there was an increase in the number of ensemble members, with the prediction based on 25 integrations. %U http://grads.iges.org/ellfb/Mar99/cptec.htm %@language English %@copyholder SID/SCD %@e-mailaddress fabia@cptec.inpe.br %@secondarytype PRE PI %@area MET %@group DMD-INPE-MCT-BR %@group DOP-INPE-MCT-BR %@affiliation CPTEC-INPE-Cachoeira Paulista-12630-000-SP-Brasil