| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) | |||
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Repositório | cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| Última Atualização | 2006:04.19.20.40.00 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31.55 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2022:03.26.18.01.16 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Chave Secundária | INPE-15197-PRE/10073 | |||
| Chave de Citação | CavalcantiOCBFCCOGM:2006:NeDeSe | |||
| Título | New developments in seasonal prediction at CPTEC/INPE Brazil  | |||
| Formato | CD-ROM; On-line. | |||
| Projeto | Clima | |||
| Ano | 2006 | |||
| Data de Acesso | 26 dez. 2024 | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE CI | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 224 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca Albuquerque 2 Orsini, Jose Antonio Marengo 3 Camargo Junior, Helio 4 Barbosa, Henrique de Melo Jorge 5 Figueroa, Silvio Nilo 6 Chagas, Julio C. S. 7 Cardoso, Andrea de Oliveira 8 Oliveira, Gilvan Sampaio de 9 Gutierrez, Enver Manuel Amador Ramirez 10 Muniz, Lincoln | |||
| Identificador de Curriculo | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHG3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHBE | |||
| Grupo | 1 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 3 DOP-INPE-MCT-BR 4 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 5 6 7 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 8 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR 9 DOP-INPE-MCT-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 6 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 iracema @cptec.inpe.br | |||
| Editor | Vera, Carolina Nobre, Carlos | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail | iracema@cptec.inpe.br | |||
| Nome do Evento | International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, 8 (ICSHMO). | |||
| Localização do Evento | Foz do Iguaçu | |||
| Data | 24-28 Apr. 2006 | |||
| Editora (Publisher) | American Meteorological Society (AMS) | |||
| Cidade da Editora | 45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA | |||
| Páginas | 539-542 | |||
| Título do Livro | Proceedings | |||
| Organização | American Meteorological Society (AMS) | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2005-10-06 20:31:55 :: iracema@cptec.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2005-11-11 02:55:29 :: administrator -> adm_conf :: 2005-12-16 01:14:54 :: adm_conf -> iracema@cptec.inpe.br :: 2006-03-29 20:32:33 :: iracema@cptec.inpe.br -> adm_conf :: 2006-03-29 20:43:09 :: adm_conf -> administrator :: 2006-04-18 20:51:08 :: administrator -> lise@dpi.inpe.br :: 2010-12-28 12:36:13 :: lise@dpi.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2010-12-29 15:54:33 :: administrator -> lise@dpi.inpe.br :: 2006 2010-12-29 16:05:32 :: lise@dpi.inpe.br -> banon :: 2006 2010-12-29 16:37:31 :: banon -> administrator :: 2006 2010-12-29 18:50:26 :: administrator -> banon :: 2006 2011-01-02 17:14:31 :: banon -> administrator :: 2006 2022-03-26 18:01:16 :: administrator -> :: 2006 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Palavras-Chave | seasonal prediction ensemble clusters intraseasonal variability | |||
| Resumo | The new implementations at CPTEC referring to Long-Range Forecasts are presented and discussed. A cluster analysis has been applied to the ensemble members to identify different groups that show different behaviour with respect to anomaly precipitation. In this technique we do clustering of members with similar behaviour, resulting in several different clusters. Thus, in regions with large dispersion, the cluster analysis can be an useful tool to replace the ensemble average. Another technique that is being applied to the daily results from the model prediction is the prediction of Madden-Julian Oscillation. It is already known that intraseasonal oscillations have influence on South America convection, and it is important to analyse this kind of variability in the model results to increase the predictability in some regions that are strongly affected. The seasonal prediction has also been performed, in an experimental way, using the AGCM with the Grell ensemble convection scheme, replacing the Kuo scheme. A new AGCM that has been developed at CPTEC, based on CPTEC/COLA AGCM, but with a different structure of integration, has been tested for climate simulations using resolution of T126L42. The efficiency of this model is much higher than the operational one, and allow the higher resolution runs. The introduction of an updated vegetation set and an estimated soil humidity field from an hydrological model is also discussed. | |||
| Área | MET | |||
| Tipo | Climate predictions | |||
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > New developments in... | |||
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > New developments in... | |||
| Arranjo 3 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > New developments in... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source |
| |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos | |||
| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| Idioma | en | |||
| Arquivo Alvo | 539-542.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | administrator iracema@cptec.inpe.br administrator banon | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Detentor da Cópia | SID/SCD | |||
| Permissão de Leitura | allow from all | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 | |||
| Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.02.22.14 8 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.49.24 7 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 4 | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | cptec.inpe.br/nobre/2005/06.02.21.14 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Nota | 1 | |||
| Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber contenttype copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi edition identifier isbn issn label lineage mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype volume | |||